Well, final weekend sucked, did not it? OK, so not fully. This column did go 2-1 with its picks, and any worthwhile week was a very good week, however so far as the video games are involved, the weekend sucked.
We had six playoff video games from Saturday by way of Monday night time, and solely two supplied any semblance of drama. Five of the six favorites gained, and the lone favourite to lose shot itself in the foot roughly 30 occasions after which determined it would strive a QB draw for 20 yards with 14 seconds left and no timeouts. Wonderful stuff. Anyway, the typical margin of victory on the week was 17.2 factors per sport. To take it a step additional, the typical deficit coming into the fourth quarter of the six video games was 20.2 factors per sport, in order that they weren’t at the same time as close because the 17.2 may recommend.
So here is hoping this week is extra entertaining, and if it is not, let it a minimum of be as worthwhile.
All NFL odds are by way of Caesars Sportsbook.
Latest Odds:
Tennessee Titans
-3.5
Hi, I’m the man who has been betting towards the Titans all season lengthy, and I see no purpose to cease now. If you are going to do it, it’s greatest to do it when the Titans are favored. Tennessee is 10-7 ATS on the season, however it’s 4-5 ATS as a favourite in comparison with 6-2 as a canine. And whereas it’s a very good workforce that is getting again to full power, I nonetheless do not have a wholesome Tennessee workforce as being this massive a favourite towards the Bengals.
I’ve watched Joe Burrow thrive in too many huge spots already to go towards him now. This is not a fluke. I’m not going to proclaim that Burrow is already an elite QB and embarking on a Hall of Fame profession simply but, however Burrow is unquestionably elite and can be in the Hall of Fame (so long as he stays wholesome). The surest solution to get there may be by overlaying the unfold! Join me on the bandwagon now, so 20 years from now, you can also say that you simply knew it all alongside.
Prediction: Titans 24, Bengals 23
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Latest Odds:
Green Bay Packers
-6
I like betting on the 49ers and Kyle Shanahan as underdogs. Since taking up in San Francisco, Shanahan’s 49ers groups have gone 25-17 ATS as underdogs, in comparison with 16-24-1 as favorites. Taking it a step additional, as street canine, the Niners are 17-10 ATS. As street canine outdoors the division, they’re 11-6. Aren’t these fantastic tendencies?
Also, whereas they went 3-0 ATS final week, massive favorites do not are inclined to do properly in the NFL playoffs. Including final week, they’re 11-13 ATS because the 2017 season, and my dumb mind tells me that we’re sure to see some regression this week after these blowouts final week. Maybe it’s wishful pondering, however my numbers again it up as properly. I’ve the Packers a lot nearer to being discipline-objective favorites in this matchup than practically landing favorites.
Prediction: Packers 27, 49ers 24
Latest Odds:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-3
I wish to take the Rams right here, however I can not convey myself to do it. Still, it’s laborious to shake the picture of Tom Brady being underneath strain so usually in the win over Philadelphia after Tampa suffered a few accidents on its offensive line. If Tristan Wirfs and Ali Marpet are lower than 100% in this sport, how will they fare towards Aaron Donald, Von Miller and firm? That stated, it’s nonetheless Tom Brady, and I’m not all that in betting towards Tom Brady.
Instead, I’ll guess the full. Those issues I’ve concerning the Tampa offense are actual, and I’m not as satisfied the Rams’ offense will look as robust outdoors on grass as it did at dwelling indoors. Furthermore, Shawn Hochuli will function the ref for this sport, and his video games are usually lower-scoring. I assume it’s as a result of everyone falls asleep whereas he is spending quarter-hour explaining each penalty to you. Like father like son!
Prediction: Buccaneers 24, Rams 21
|
Record |
Units |
|
|
Last Week |
2-1 |
+0.9 |
|
Season |
28-20 |
+5.9 |
