Steelers at Chiefs expert picks, odds: Point spread, total, player props, how to watch AFC wild card game – ZellaNews


Ben Roethlisberger will get one other shot to chase a Super Bowl, as he and the Pittsburgh Steelers secured a spot within the playoffs after a dramatic Week 18. However, they’ve to face probably the greatest groups within the NFL proper off the bat on Super Wild Card Weekend, as they journey to Kansas City to tackle Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.

The two groups met in Arrowhead Stadium not way back in Week 16, because the Chiefs coasted to a 36-10 victory. The Steelers had three turnovers and did not rating any factors within the first half, however this crew might be motivated to ship Roethlisberger out with a powerful efficiency. After beginning 10-2, Roethlisberger has misplaced seven out of his final 10 playoff video games. However, he has a profession-excessive seven game-winning drives this season. If Pittsburgh can discover a means to maintain it shut, something can occur.

Below, we are going to study the totally different betting angles for this matchup. We will present picks from each ZellaNews Sports and SportsLine consultants on this AFC showdown, in addition to a couple of player props that we view as attractive. 

All NFL odds are through Caesars Sportsbook.

How to watch 

Date: Sunday, Jan. 16 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Missouri)
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (strive free of charge)
Odds: Chiefs -12.5, O/U 46

Steelers at Chiefs unfold picks

Latest Odds:

Kansas City Chiefs

“It was in Week 16 when the Steelers had been blown out, 36-10, by the Chiefs. They barely competed in that game, however they’re again because the final wild card crew within the AFC. Don’t count on one other blowout like that one. The Steelers are more healthy now and have a coach in Mike Tomlin who is aware of how to win within the playoffs. The Chiefs have had defensive points the previous two weeks, which may very well be an issue. The Steelers cannot cease the run, however the Chiefs do not run it that a lot, and in the event that they try this takes away the power of their crew. That’s why I believe this one might be shut. The Steelers will dangle round, however the Chiefs will win it.” — ZellaNews Sports Senior NFL author Pete Prisco likes the Steelers to cowl the massive unfold. To learn the remainder of his wild card picks, click on right here.

“To pull off the upset, the Steelers are going to want to put some severe strain on Patrick Mahomes and drive him into making a number of errors. Of Kansas City’s 5 losses this 12 months, 4 of them got here in video games the place Mahomes threw at least one interception. If the Steelers protection is nice at one factor, it is getting to the quarterback. Thanks largely to T.J. Watt’s NFL document-tying 22.5 sacks, the Steelers racked up a complete of 55 sacks this 12 months, which led the NFL. Of the 15 video games Watt performed on this 12 months, the Steelers went 8-2-1 when he recorded at least one sack and 0-3 when he did not. If Watt can get to Mahomes a few times, that would give the Steelers an outdoor likelihood to pull off the upset. 

“On the opposite hand, the largest downside for the Steelers is that if this turns right into a shootout, they merely haven’t got the firepower to sustain.” — ZellaNews Sports’ John Breech is choosing the Steelers to lose by double digits, however cowl the unfold. To learn the remainder of his wild card picks, click on right here.

“The Steelers snuck their means into the postseason thanks to the right sequence of dominos falling of their favor. While their protection is playoff worthy, the offense is a unique story as they had been barely ready to common 20 factors a game all year long with Ben Roethlisberger trying like a quarterback very a lot on his final leg. If Pittsburgh performs because it did all year long, it is arduous to envision a state of affairs the place Kansas City does not run away with this game. I believe that is going to be very comparable to the earlier matchup between these two groups in Week 16 the place the Chiefs hung 30 earlier than the Steelers may even get on the board. It’s additionally price noting that the Steelers have not been ready to string constructive video games collectively as they’re 1-4 ATS following their final 5 wins.” — Tyler Sullivan is not fazed by the massive unfold. He’s on the Chiefs. To learn his Wild Card column, click on right here.

A former lead author for Covers and The Linemakers, SportsLine’s Larry Hartstein combines an enormous community of Vegas sources with an analytical strategy he honed whereas working for Pro Football Focus. This season he has been on fireplace. Hartstein is 67-45 together with his final 112 sides, for a revenue of greater than $1,600. In addition, Hartstein has gone an astounding 22-8 on his final 30 picks involving Kansas City, returning $1300 to $100 bettors. We can let you know he is leaning Over, however you want to try his in opposition to the unfold decide over at SportsLine

Steelers at Chiefs complete picks

Latest Odds:

Under 46

“These two groups scored 46 complete factors of their first matchup this season, which is precisely the place Vegas drew the road for his or her playoff rematch. The Steelers common 20.2 factors per game, which ranks No. 21 within the league, whereas the Chiefs common 28.2 factors per game, which ranks fourth. While the Chiefs are 10-7 to the Over this 12 months, they’re 4-5 to the Over at residence, and 1-2 when the road is 45 to 48 factors. The Steelers will not mild up the scoreboard, so the lean is to the Under.” — ZellaNews Sports’ Jordan Dajani

Before you make any Steelers vs. Chiefs picks and predictions, you will need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying. The mannequin, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 instances, is up over $7,400 for $100 gamers on prime-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years in the past. The mannequin enters the 2021 NFL playoffs on an unbelievable 136-97 run on prime-rated NFL picks that dates again to the 2017 season. To see what the mannequin is saying concerning the unfold and the full on this AFC postseason showdown, head on over to SportsLine

Player props

Darrel Williams receiving yards: Over 22.5 (-115). Running again Clyde Edwards-Helaire has already been dominated out with a shoulder harm, so Williams needs to be the main rusher for Kansas City. He additionally has an opportunity to make an affect as a receiver. A pair instances this 12 months he is exploded within the passing game. Against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 10, he caught 9 passes for 101 yards. Williams has recorded at least 27 receiving yards in a game eight instances this season regardless of seven “begins.”

Ben Roethlisberger passing yards: Over 225.5 (-115). Roethlisberger is averaging 233.8 passing yards per game. That’s not extremely excessive, however in opposition to the Chiefs, there’s all the time an opportunity your quarterback may spend the vast majority of the matchup passing the ball. It’s possible Big Ben’s final game. Let him throw the ball round. 

Harrison Butker made subject objectives: Over 1.5 (-160). A bit juicy, however throw it right into a same-game parlay. I opened up my Caesars Sportsbook app and parlayed Chiefs -2.5 and Butker Over 1.5 made subject objectives made for -106 odds. He’s made at least two subject objectives in 10 out of 16 video games performed this 12 months. 


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